Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001677 0.001862 0.002047 0.002246 0.002454 0.002665 0.002894
2025-02-09 0.001481 0.001753 0.002034 0.002345 0.002677 0.003020 0.003399
2025-02-16 0.001262 0.001597 0.001953 0.002357 0.002796 0.003257 0.003774
2025-02-23 0.001020 0.001394 0.001805 0.002281 0.002811 0.003376 0.004019
2025-03-02 0.000822 0.001221 0.001675 0.002215 0.002827 0.003489 0.004252
2025-03-09 0.000659 0.001075 0.001565 0.002160 0.002848 0.003603 0.004481
2025-03-16 0.000537 0.000964 0.001486 0.002135 0.002897 0.003743 0.004737
2025-03-23 0.000479 0.000929 0.001494 0.002208 0.003056 0.004005 0.005128
2025-03-30 0.000403 0.000862 0.001456 0.002222 0.003144 0.004185 0.005423
2025-04-06 0.000351 0.000822 0.001449 0.002272 0.003270 0.004407 0.005766
2025-04-13 0.000322 0.000811 0.001478 0.002362 0.003445 0.004683 0.006169
2025-04-20 0.000241 0.000711 0.001383 0.002296 0.003428 0.004735 0.006315
2025-04-27 0.000169 0.000625 0.001318 0.002287 0.003508 0.004933 0.006668
2025-05-04 0.000135 0.000599 0.001336 0.002385 0.003723 0.005294 0.007216
2025-05-11 0.000087 0.000531 0.001288 0.002396 0.003830 0.005529 0.007620
2025-05-18 0.000037 0.000429 0.001179 0.002320 0.003825 0.005630 0.007868
2025-05-25 0.000009 0.000343 0.001082 0.002253 0.003828 0.005737 0.008122
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000272 0.000998 0.002198 0.003841 0.005855 0.008388
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000220 0.000938 0.002172 0.003891 0.006014 0.008701
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000205 0.000947 0.002246 0.004070 0.006333 0.009204
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000173 0.000917 0.002260 0.004169 0.006552 0.009587
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000155 0.000912 0.002309 0.004314 0.006828 0.010038
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000149 0.000933 0.002401 0.004515 0.007173 0.010572